Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.020895 0.024338 0.028137 0.032634 0.037809 0.043572 0.050473
2025-11-09 0.015370 0.019728 0.024985 0.031776 0.040298 0.050617 0.064040
2025-11-16 0.012038 0.016815 0.023041 0.031708 0.043418 0.058636 0.079857
2025-11-23 0.009440 0.014224 0.020904 0.030843 0.045171 0.064976 0.094308
2025-11-30 0.008171 0.013163 0.020568 0.032242 0.050043 0.075993 0.116460
2025-12-07 0.006870 0.011773 0.019465 0.032252 0.052777 0.084173 0.135470
2025-12-14 0.005643 0.010252 0.017870 0.031179 0.053585 0.089417 0.150526
2025-12-21 0.004807 0.009216 0.016866 0.030853 0.055445 0.096398 0.168999
2025-12-28 0.004433 0.008922 0.017054 0.032537 0.060834 0.109671 0.199258
2026-01-04 0.004005 0.008446 0.016833 0.033433 0.064907 0.121101 0.227568
2026-01-11 0.003421 0.007560 0.015708 0.032473 0.065439 0.126302 0.245347
2026-01-18 0.003003 0.006938 0.014991 0.032172 0.067130 0.133716 0.267859
2026-01-25 0.002569 0.006213 0.013978 0.031174 0.067402 0.138638 0.286527
2026-02-01 0.002221 0.005614 0.013136 0.030404 0.068029 0.144307 0.307283
2026-02-08 0.001979 0.005219 0.012670 0.030366 0.070158 0.153165 0.335339
2026-02-15 0.001717 0.004725 0.011905 0.029549 0.070492 0.158365 0.356426
2026-02-22 0.001624 0.004639 0.012075 0.030898 0.075795 0.174561 0.402368
2026-03-01 0.001463 0.004348 0.011705 0.030911 0.078039 0.184380 0.435546
2026-03-08 0.001270 0.003930 0.010954 0.029883 0.077696 0.188422 0.456342
2026-03-15 0.001136 0.003650 0.010514 0.029570 0.079031 0.196389 0.486823
2026-03-22 0.001097 0.003646 0.010803 0.031189 0.085353 0.216574 0.547638
2026-03-29 0.001031 0.003543 0.010808 0.032050 0.089852 0.232885 0.600888
2026-04-05 0.000907 0.003237 0.010193 0.031127 0.089594 0.237645 0.626748